Being smart matters less than being smart differently. $20k to $80M by getting ahead of undiscovered niches. $AMZN
Dumb Signal has archived 3,922 posts
from Chris Camillo (@ChrisCamillo) and classified
164 as real trade calls β each priced the day it was
made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.
@legen_eth A rare, well researched 90%-ish conviction outcome like I had on $AMZN earnings justifies accepting more downside to capture substantially more upside by using leverage.
$AMZN
@JackThunder33 @RealSimpleAriel @amitisinvesting That added to my conviction this wk. so many independent datapoints aligning that I was more concerned about not having enough in the $AMZN earnings trade than having too much.
$AMZN
@LordMarket22 I had additional leverage available if $BE and $AMZN hadnβt played out, but after another drawdown it wouldβve been meaningfully uncomfortable to pull that trigger. I would have though
$BE$AMZN
Most gut-wrenching, highest-conviction, levered trade of my life. Been an annoying broken record for months I know, but for good reason. We did it. $AMZN
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
+15.3% | β | β | β | +15.3% |
@ChrisCamillo
Jul 29, 2026 Β· 10:39 ET
stock
trade
intent
position
Good summary of $BEβs earnings yesterday. I havenβt sold, and if I can free up some cash, Iβll be adding. https://t.co/Zq9Q3Zg2tN
β Quoting @saso_capital
$BE
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $BElong |
+26.5% | β | β | β | +25.7% |
@seay_brade70876 Not levered in $BE but have been adding, and losing last few wks. Only levered in $AMZN but even there cautious as it relates to earnings and short term market moves this wk
$BE$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
-1.8% | β | β | β | +17.6% |
| $BElong |
-1.9% | β | β | β | +23.4% |
@gr8tixx I added to my $BE today
$BE
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $BElong |
-11.3% | β | β | β | +9.4% |
Pre-answering the inevitable $AMZN earnings DMs.
Little has changed.
The algos will chase whatever management says about CapEx. The market will overreact. As usual.
If it rips, cool. If it tanks, Iβll be buying more. IDGAF.
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
-0.2% | β | β | β | +17.4% |
@StockBully69 @buyhighx Youβre confusing sharing personal conviction with giving buy recommendations. Iβm massively long $AMZN and happily adding on the dips.
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
-0.3% | +17.0% | β | β | +17.0% |
Added to $AMZN on leverage. If Iβm wrong, Iβll pay for it.
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
-0.7% | +0.8% | β | β | +16.2% |
@ryanTesling @farzyness No I havenβt, still levered long $AMZN but note I do this exclusively with high risk, high reward capital
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
-4.6% | -7.4% | β | β | +10.9% |
Bought the dip on $BE. New Mexico data center permit delay feels like a classic overreaction.
$BE
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $BElong |
+14.8% | -4.5% | β | β | +4.4% |
@Ai_Andy1337 @fugui_slawta I reduced my $SKM exposure, for now. The market now has to reprice the risk that open source compresses frontier model pricing. Happy to add back once thereβs better visibility on where the economics ultimately settle.
$SKM
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $SKMshort |
-2.6% | -16.5% | β | β | -3.8% |
@scrap_mma I added more $BE
$BE
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $BElong |
-8.3% | -14.0% | β | β | -4.3% |
@ChrisCamillo
Jul 10, 2026 Β· 11:41 ET
stock
1st mention
trade
position
Is it theoretically possible that $BE is lying about scandium and that Brookfield, Oracle and Nebius all failed to uncover a fatal supply constraint before committing to multibillion dollar projects? Yes. Itβs also extraordinarily unlikely.
Bloom has now stated in an SEC filing that it has sufficient non-China scandium supply for its current demand and backlog, with visibility to support 25 GW of annual production. Brookfield just expanded its partnership to $25B. Nebius committed up to $2.6B. Oracle contracted an initial 1.2 GW under an agreement covering up to 2.8 GW.
Outside scandium estimates are not precision exercises. Bloomβs material intensity, manufacturing yields, inventory, supplier contracts and future efficiency gains are not publicly known.
Read the short report. Read Bloomβs response. Use AI. Do your own work. Make your own decision.
Iβm not selling.
$BE$BAM$ORCL$NBIS
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $BAMlong |
-0.2% | +3.4% | β | β | +2.7% |
| $BElong |
-4.5% | -12.1% | β | β | -15.9% |
| $NBISlong |
-4.2% | -19.1% | β | β | -13.4% |
| $ORCLlong |
-6.5% | -10.1% | β | β | -7.7% |
Might be quiet for a bit on posts and responding to DMs and texts. Lost one of the most special people in my life to a tragic accident today.
On a completely different note, I did meaningfully add to $AMZN today and remain as bullish as ever.
Love you all. Hug your people.
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
+2.9% | -1.4% | +4.1% | β | +14.3% |
@tradematiq1 I did add $UUUU today
$UUUU
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $UUUUlong |
+1.2% | +0.1% | -8.1% | β | -23.9% |
Yes, I had a massive levered long position in $SG. Hundreds of thousands in options.
If you listened to the full podcast and read my posts since, the point was clear: these trades are normal for ME, not YOU.
Iβll take a 10% shot at 20X knowing 9 of 10 can zero.
That math works for me because of my risk profile, process, and portfolio construction.
That does not mean it works for you.
We are not built the same. Thatβs okay. Very few are.
$SG
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $SGlong |
+0.7% | +24.0% | +19.0% | β | -11.1% |
@Investor_NICK_ Did you read my $SG posts?
Highly speculative, incomplete early data, weeks away from real conviction.
I take levered probability/outcome swings like this knowing 1 in 2 at best hit. The point is the winners can return 4-7x. You either get it or you donβt. Not for everyone.
$SG
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $SGlong |
+0.7% | +24.0% | +19.0% | β | -11.1% |
@lucasvvian Never had SG conviction.
It was always a speculative probability bet until more data materialized.
Search $SG on my X for all posts. Iβve been very clear.
$SG
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $SGlong |
-4.2% | +11.8% | +14.0% | β | -14.8% |
@JRoddenbery I donβt share trade granularity because thereβs zero alpha in copying my entries. My trades are built around my own risk/reward profile, not anyone elseβs. But yes, I went deeper on $AMZN today.
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
+1.5% | -4.8% | -2.9% | β | +8.6% |
Been distracted by other opps so havenβt had time to dig in, but @DumbMoneyTV social arb peeps telling me squishy dumplings could light up $FIVE earnings tonight. No rec from me, just watching and playing a little for fun
$FIVE
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $FIVElong |
-13.8% | -12.1% | -18.2% | β | -2.6% |
@redrumry @Rewkang Yes, still $AMZN for me.
$AMZN
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AMZNlong |
-2.5% | -4.8% | -5.4% | β | +5.9% |
For Robinhood, Trump Accounts are less about near-term economics and more about company DNA.
They race ahead, own the moment, and become the default platform before competitors even react.
Youβll see this same playbook again. Thatβs why $HOOD will remain one of my largest longs.
β Quoting @vladtenev
$HOOD
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $HOODlong |
+11.2% | +4.1% | +16.3% | β | +2.0% |
@Temple_Eight @OG_PViews As mentioned on last weekβs @DumbMoneyTV, I see enough early traction in the $SG Caesar wrap to open a long position but likely need weeks of additional data before I develop any real conviction.
$SG
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $SGlong |
+9.1% | -8.4% | -3.2% | β | -29.3% |