Dumb Signal has archived 2,008 posts
from π§ (@Pentosh1) and classified
116 as real trade calls β each priced the day it was
made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.
@Pentosh1
Jul 21, 2026 Β· 11:14 ET
stock
1st mention
trade
intent
$CRDO is another one I'd like to build a position in, I started a partial position today. Going to try to take my time on this but at least started exposure. As not in a huge rush atm in the market.
For anything that I view as a longer term trade, I'll start doing a writeup on if I'm viewing it on a 6+ month lens.. So this one will receive that vs a trade. Which is typically days to weeks.
$CRDO
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $CRDOlong |
+2.0% | -14.1% | β | β | -7.5% |
@Pentosh1
Jul 17, 2026 Β· 10:54 ET
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1st mention
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Grabbed some $EWY at 155.52, $AAOI at $93, $NBIS at 166.3, $SNDK at 1395. AAOI will be a longer term position for me, same with NBIS. Ewy and SNDK ill dump within the week most likely.
The one thing I would caution however is there's a very real possibility that we have some extended chop/sideways period due to the amount of deleveraging that occurred. I think it would be quite easy to get harmed each direction. At least until vol dies off a bit. These entries were the result of waiting 6 weeks. The market structure is pretty poor now overall, so I'd rather keep the higher conviction stuff, and start building those positions. As we could easily bleed lower. Will go into more of my detailed thinking tomorrow when I have some time. But the 6 weeks of waiting for these looks to be off to a great start each direction
β Quoting @Pentosh1
$EWY$AAOI$NBIS$SNDK
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AAOIlong |
+0.6% | -2.2% | β | β | -7.9% |
| $EWYlong |
+0.2% | +0.3% | β | β | -3.3% |
| $NBISlong |
+2.8% | +5.7% | β | β | +7.1% |
| $SNDKlong |
+2.7% | +6.0% | β | β | -10.3% |
@Pentosh1
Jul 08, 2026 Β· 18:39 ET
stock
1st mention
if your base port secured the whole trade it doesnt really reduce the risk. if meta drops hard it means the rest of your port is likely dropping hard and theres a broad sell off which would be the same time you'd have to come up with the 275k if you get assigned
your upside is capped a 64k no matter what
lets say a broad market sell off happens, meta falls to 300. you are still obligated to pay 550 - premium so 421. and then you have a paper loss of 60,500 after keeping the premium
its not really as risk free as you make it sound in this sense. long dated = more variables
$META
@Pentosh1
Jul 08, 2026 Β· 16:18 ET
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1st mention
@degentradingLSD great day for $SHAZ and $NBIS today
lfg sir
$SHAZ$NBIS
@Pentosh1
Jul 07, 2026 Β· 12:41 ET
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1st mention
i think there are less people jumping from crypto to stocks and vice versa than you think, and more rotating sectors inside of each. at least thats a good framework
beaten down software names up 20% this week.
googl caught a bid, nvda catching one now some of the bigger names that have been lifeless beginning to move
in that sense, its just like crypto with narratives so i'd like more internally at each. which rotations are happening, and why. how long may that persist. semis for example could be cooked for several months.
but yes, the 58k area is attractive and anything within 10-20% of that range
$GOOGL$NVDA$BTC
@Pentosh1
Jul 01, 2026 Β· 11:47 ET
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Sophon I never ended up actually working for. My father passed away a good year before they launched. I never got any compensation etc
Beam has a treasury that is worth more than the market cap. And we bought and burned over 200m worth of tokens. It was just in bear like anything else.
I also have all my tokens and am down over 8 figures on that. If someone would like to put up a million as a bet that this isnβt true. Iβd be happy to take that. Iβve never even taken my initials out since joining the team in Jan 2022
$BEAM$SOPH
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $BEAMlong |
+3.9% | +10.2% | -23.8% | β | -23.8% |
| $SOPHlong |
-4.3% | -1.4% | β | β | +3.0% |
@Pentosh1
Jun 26, 2026 Β· 20:32 ET
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1st mention
@crypto_condom @BlackBerry @LamResearch Letβs go cc. Great research
$BB$LRCX
@Pentosh1
Jun 26, 2026 Β· 13:03 ET
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1st mention
Things to consider, look for exposure in when opportunities arise
$BB physical AI safety layer
$DRAM memory, robotics
$BOT the physical side, private robotics companies that will all need to scale. This timeline is being sped up rapidly
all 3 tie in together over the next decade and benefit each other
$BB$DRAM$BOT
@Pentosh1
Jun 25, 2026 Β· 11:34 ET
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1st mention
I dont know enough about Oust, or not enough. Tesla is going to be the best at scaling though. Can never fade elon. Figure has the best robots out there imo. And they even were in the whitehouse. big connections there
Bot share issuance is accretive though. its not like they sell and take the money out, it goes on the balance sheet to further new investments
The upside for bot is if these companies end up doing further raises then in theory, it would capture that.
$TSLA
@Pentosh1
Jun 21, 2026 Β· 22:28 ET
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@trading_axe @blknoiz06 I shoulda kept my peng lol
I sold in the 40βs π
Iβll have to find a place to get back in
$PENGU
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $PENGUshort |
+4.5% | +5.6% | +4.2% | β | +9.6% |
@Pentosh1
Jun 20, 2026 Β· 11:07 ET
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aerodrome-finance:native revenues are redistributed to veAero holders
Tokenized stocks backed 1:1 coming backed with real dividends (see post 2) which means more swaps/volume
prob goes to .74-.75c in the near future imo around the time of the main-net release, with a pit stop around .60c likely.
the chart looks very constructive, I'm not sure ill hold it past that but its the first level that comes to mind off this support
This is a pretty small play for me, as just dipping my toes back into this specific market outside of hype. Just looking for some strong plays that have a good combination of FA + TA without the crap tokenomics
β Quoting @aixbt_agent
$AERO
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $AEROlong |
-7.3% | -16.3% | -21.6% | β | -26.8% |
@Pentosh1
Jun 14, 2026 Β· 21:16 ET
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1st mention
@RinzzinX @Globalflows Do you remember what Luna was and how it worked?
And if so. Can you explain how these are comparable.
$LUNA
@Pentosh1
Jun 11, 2026 Β· 11:26 ET
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1st mention
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$GLXY this position was initiated with a current cost average of $26.74 They are building out the largest data center in the US. It's currently at resistance so I wouldn't exactly buy here. But either look for pullbacks, or a breakout and retest. This one Im about 60% long of the position size I want it to be. So still looking to accumulate. That is done through one brokerage being a core position, and a second for scalping and then adding the net profits to the main position.
$GLXY
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $GLXYlong |
+0.3% | +2.8% | -25.2% | β | -36.9% |
@Pentosh1
Jun 05, 2026 Β· 20:06 ET
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1st mention
Just realized the second chart was wrong. I put $MU twice as opposed to MU + $EWY but this was it.
$MU$EWY
@Pentosh1
Jun 02, 2026 Β· 10:15 ET
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Recent positions and losses.
$BB: 5.79 current 9.76
$USAR: $17 current 30.32
$UUUU: cut this around BE
$DGXX: $8 avg now current 8.33
$HYPE: average has moved up a lot $42 current $73
$HIMS was cut after earnings at a loss
$Peng: $37 current 72. Sold $44 π
In a few sub 1B caps but donβt really feel comfortable sharing those due to market cap.
And in a lot of others but mostly for very short term trades. Days. Week. . Like some high profile momentum plays. I probably only share 10% of what I do. Most I donβt share bc thereβs just been big moves and think if you donβt know how to trade them the risk is quite high chasing late.
$BB$USAR$UUUU$DGXX$HYPE$HIMS$PENG
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $BBlong |
-1.4% | -14.3% | +11.5% | β | -18.2% |
| $DGXXlong |
-3.1% | -24.9% | -41.5% | β | -53.2% |
| $HIMSshort |
+0.0% | -5.3% | -33.8% | β | -0.9% |
| $HYPElong |
+6.8% | -17.2% | -4.1% | β | -25.3% |
| $PENGshort |
-1.1% | +12.7% | +13.0% | β | +25.5% |
| $USARlong |
-8.9% | -31.9% | -37.6% | β | -51.3% |
| $UUUUshort |
+7.9% | +26.5% | +29.3% | β | +41.5% |
@Pentosh1
May 28, 2026 Β· 12:03 ET
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1st mention
RT @crypto_condom: Patenting TIL production is a big deal for @IovanceBio. Traditional biotech companies have drug patent limits of 7yr & 1β¦
$IOVA
@Pentosh1
May 28, 2026 Β· 10:28 ET
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1st mention
$DGXX
Finally looks ready to break out after a period of consolidation.
Going to give both the bull and bear case so you can evaluate for yourself.
They have a $CBRS deal. A 10yr, $1.1B agreement that gives them a multi-year revenue runway. All they have to do is execute partially.
They are debt free. they OWN generation. In an AI buildout where power is THE bottleneck, owning 60MW+ with a 1.3GW Loi
The are pre rev, and the prev earnings left a lot to be desired but that was PRIOR to the CBRS deal. Which materially changes everything. Again, as long as they execute.
Right now, power is the constraint more than chips.
A few things. These things take time to play out. The buildouts will be years in the making in general.
$DGXX$CBRS
@Pentosh1
May 28, 2026 Β· 09:49 ET
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1st mention
@JSeyff @Grayscale lets goooo
$GBTC
@Pentosh1
May 26, 2026 Β· 19:41 ET
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1st mention
@icobeast -1% on Saylor buys of 1B+
-2% on Ibit sells of 1B+
$MSTR$IBIT
@Pentosh1
May 22, 2026 Β· 15:47 ET
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1st mention
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The dip coming a bit sooner than expected. I nibbled a bit here at $55.5, but would ideally like the opportunity to add big in the low 50's for $HYPE. IF we get it. Which idk if we will or not
Of course, price wont move up in a straight line but the fundamentals have never been better and price discovery likely continues over the next few weeks. It just depends on your time frame. Some people think about where hype might be in 3-5 years, and some people think about 3-5 days. I think about both. if price is down even 1%, i wonder if my idea is invalidated, how could i be so stupid. if its up, I know im a fucking genius. Today I have been both, stupid, and a genius.
I also began a small position in $LIT. Down 20% on the day, would expect a decent recovery there. Not that these two are remotely the same thing.
β Quoting @Pentosh1
$HYPE$LIT
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $HYPElong |
+7.3% | +17.8% | +22.5% | β | -4.7% |
| $LITlong |
+3.2% | +6.1% | +32.0% | β | +71.3% |
@Pentosh1
May 08, 2026 Β· 15:24 ET
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1st mention
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Took a position in $HIMS here at $27.55. Earnings are next week so there will be some vol around that, but I believe it's pretty clear that the demand for peptides is going to continue to grow faster than people anticipate.
$HIMS
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $HIMSlong |
+3.1% | -11.4% | -7.4% | β | -1.8% |
@Pentosh1
May 06, 2026 Β· 14:12 ET
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$URA is another great one that is looking primed for a breakout. It continues to knock at this resistance with higher lows, feel its just a matter of days or weeks until we see a strong move higher. Only started building a position in the past week or so.
I do think with the energy/nuclear plays you need to take more of a longer term thesis though as opposed to what we've seen in the "ai bottlenecks". As the nuclear sector in general is going to take some time. AI is a huge tailwind of this obviously but the entire global sector is expected to expand with over 30 countries planning to triple nuclear capacity in the decade + ahead. Not to mention there's been a huge structural deficit. Supply can't respond quick enough so there is a multi-year or decade shortfall. We know two things. It is coming, and it will take time.
β Quoting @Pentosh1
$URA
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $URAlong |
-3.4% | -8.5% | -22.2% | β | -32.9% |
@Pentosh1
May 04, 2026 Β· 13:39 ET
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@crypto_condom @nokia @BlackBerry send it
$NOK$BB
@Pentosh1
May 04, 2026 Β· 13:38 ET
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$UUUU
The future, is nuclear just hopefully not in the war sense
US based critical minerals company with strong macro tailwinds. Especially with AI data center buildouts and diversifying into rare earths and a strong balance sheet.
I view this one as a longer term play, not one that is going to provide multiples like we are seeing in many of the AI sectors fwiw.
We will get some more guidance on this shortly. and hopefully some more government support for domestic supply chains
$UUUU
@Pentosh1
Apr 21, 2026 Β· 09:58 ET
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@notthreadguy Thereβs a few out there that are up well over 100x lol
Ridiculous and Avis is just the same as rave lol
$CAR