Dumb Signal has archived 2,008 posts
from π§ (@Pentosh1) and classified
116 as real trade calls β each priced the day it was
made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.
@Pentosh1
Apr 15, 2026 Β· 12:11 ET
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1st mention
Might be time for $NKE to pivot to ai and quit the shoe business as well https://t.co/H8J7qmidar
β Quoting @Pentosh1
$NKE
@Pentosh1
Apr 13, 2026 Β· 14:09 ET
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1st mention
$SNDK plz go down fren π
$SNDK
@Pentosh1
Mar 19, 2026 Β· 09:31 ET
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1st mention
By the way, you can buy $OIL in the US for $97, and sell it in China for $150 and make a killing on arbitrage
free money on the ground, all you have to do is pick it up
$OIL
@Pentosh1
Mar 12, 2026 Β· 11:58 ET
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1st mention
2000 $BTC already for Saylor today. A record setting day inbound for STRC. I dont know how long he can sustain this pace, but any meaningful time will likely have a very large impact for $STRC. fun to watch and track
https://t.co/ZDSPcGcMTO
$STRC$BTC
@Pentosh1
Feb 18, 2026 Β· 17:00 ET
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@crypto_condom @Carvana Letβs go. Iβve been sitting in this trade with you for a long time.
$CVNA
@Pentosh1
Jan 20, 2026 Β· 13:40 ET
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Absolute Worst case scenario things just kinda bleed out or go sideways for years while people invest in asset classes that go up or require allocation like defense, ai, robotics, etc with tangible results and fiduciary duties. And have charts like $mu that never give pullbacks (as someone who wanted one and never got one)
$MU
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $MUlong |
+6.6% | +12.4% | +14.3% | β | +125.6% |
@Pentosh1
Nov 20, 2025 Β· 22:56 ET
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@dotoshy Actually never made a dollar on that.
Not one. 100% went to buying back and burning beam all on chain. And it wasnβt much. Only 33% sold of the NFTβs. I lost a lot on that.
$BEAM
@Pentosh1
Nov 20, 2025 Β· 12:46 ET
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1st mention
@LeunamPur What are you talking about.
Bought tbc 74k. After returning from a break
Longed eth 2.4k and dat plays lol
Hype as well.
I had very few misses playboy
$TBC$ETH
@Pentosh1
Oct 29, 2025 Β· 17:22 ET
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intent
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Trades post 10/10. They are quite similar in many ways to the trades I've taken since beginning of summer which all hinge on there being constant underlying demand, whether it was buybacks or dats. Post 10/10 I also felt was a flee to quality moment which hype represented best.
$HYPE, $PUMP, $CLANKER, $TAO
The first 3 did great, pump i sold too early and I got in at the lows too which kinda sucks. I left a lot on the table there. I almost got back in but there's just always so much uncertainty for me around whether there will be an airdrop or not.
HYPE has been amazing, and it is the reason Im back above 10/10 levels and at new port highs. It's carried me.
Clanker, I think has great upside and limited downside for now. it's yet to be seen if the revenues will remain a constant, but even with prev rev it has good support under 100m.
Tao I unfortunately got out of break even as well, and it's not above that. It just returned to my entry 500 times which I just don't like.
All of these have gone 50%+ in the past couple weeks. Outside of eth of course. But eth gave some nice trading ranges at least with good size.
$HYPE$PUMP$CLANKER$TAO
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $CLANKERlong |
-7.6% | -25.1% | -56.2% | β | -89.2% |
| $HYPElong |
-5.3% | -13.8% | -27.2% | β | +8.7% |
| $PUMPlong |
-15.8% | -20.7% | -44.1% | β | -59.4% |
| $TAOshort |
+6.0% | +13.1% | +32.3% | β | +56.5% |
@Pentosh1
Oct 26, 2025 Β· 10:43 ET
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1st mention
@losingshekels $hype and $aster aren't even fundamentally close, its not even a competition imo
$HYPE$ASTER
@Pentosh1
Oct 19, 2025 Β· 15:41 ET
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@fattpillow @fomosaurus Hood
MSTR
Coin
Oklo
Uamy which I shorted this past week
There are countless examples. These are a few you both know and donβt know most likely
$HOOD$MSTR$COIN$OKLO$UAMY
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $COINlong |
+2.3% | +5.5% | -15.5% | β | -56.5% |
| $HOODlong |
+4.5% | +7.6% | -5.7% | β | -33.4% |
| $MSTRlong |
+2.3% | -0.3% | -31.1% | β | -67.8% |
| $OKLOlong |
-2.7% | -16.7% | -40.3% | β | -76.2% |
| $UAMYshort |
-20.0% | -7.3% | +34.0% | β | +54.7% |
@Pentosh1
Oct 19, 2025 Β· 14:26 ET
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@fomosaurus In talking to a lot of people I think most donβt realize how much things are up
Bc they use the index of SPX as the comparison vs an individual ticker. They will say. Oh stonks up 15% this year. Which isnβt a fair comparison.
Without realizing many are up 10x-100x even lmao
$SPX
@Pentosh1
Oct 17, 2025 Β· 10:48 ET
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My current tradfi setup is boring, but it's intentionally boring. We can go over it a bit now, and then later on get into more details around it.
I have viewed crypto as a barbell strategy since end of 21. Where, I take risk in crypto, but little risk outside it and nothing inbetween.. When money leaves, it never re-enters. That's a rule that I think the people who survive follow and allows you to hit "save game" on your net worth and compound wealth without the big drawdowns in this asset class.
At least twice a year I reset my trading account to a baseline number. The rest now goes into trad markets.
This year I shifted to a bit more risk from that complete barbell. Into a more traditional barbell. The design isn't for ultra high returns currently. But that can change as there is some flexibility
My current setup is something like this with different risk buckets:
1. Long/Short stocks and commodities
2: Hedge Fund exposure examples: (millennium, goldentree, discovery, chicago atlantic)
3. Bonds, purchased a bit before the last cuts (these will be rotated into stocks in a downturn) SPY box spreads via options
4. Very small vc exposure, private deals
Then some AQR delphi. There are a few funds within that. But one of them I'd highlight is AQR is for tax efficiency to offset some taxable gains
Very basic explanation of how they work.
You buy some stocks for $100.
Half of them go to 150
Half go to $50
The value is still the same. They then sell the losing stocks and immediately buy the closest beta to the stock they sold. So the bet is actually the same as well.
But now youβve locked in the $50 loss. But your portfolio is still the same value
On taxes it looks like you lost money. But the account value actually went up. You have realized losses but net portfolio gains. = tax offset, less tax paid and more gains and compounding.
$SPY
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
| $SPYlong |
+1.0% | +1.9% | +1.1% | β | +13.4% |
@Pentosh1
Oct 03, 2025 Β· 10:40 ET
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@Jim_buildr Usar and Intel in the past month alone https://t.co/HZMQ3ezzoe
β Quoting @mkkkmoo
$INTC
@Pentosh1
Sep 08, 2025 Β· 11:09 ET
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1st mention
The past 3 months has been free money and then more free money non stop
The eth dats sub 2.4k, Ena, Sol and even pump buybacks. In each case we were told at or around the lows for free rides
For the people who have faded them and there's been a few. You can dislike something and still make money on it. That's what we are here trading for
I could be a shit faggot penguin but still be a good trader
$ETH$ENA$SOL
@Pentosh1
Aug 27, 2025 Β· 11:31 ET
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@cryptoklotz I understand this thought process but itβs not fair to compare the index to q small cap alt. It should be index vs index from here or alt vs stock
When you could have hit 10-40x on stocks in the past two years like hood. MSTR. NVDA. Coin. CRCl etc.
$HOOD$MSTR$NVDA$COIN$CRCL
@Pentosh1
Jul 18, 2025 Β· 14:23 ET
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@WazzCrypto Sbet is likely down bc they are going to do this next week I believe
Prepping to ape 6B https://t.co/rmJgWcFC8B
β Quoting @DJohnson_CPA
$SBET
@Pentosh1
Jun 29, 2025 Β· 19:42 ET
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1st mention
@LigmaSqueeze Both Blackrock and Robinhood chose eth
Eth doesnβt have down time
Stables are issued on eth. It has all the infra and tvl
Solana so far is only for memes (basically)
$BLK$HOOD