DUMB//SIGNAL

🐧 @Pentosh1

full time larp

Dumb Signal has archived 2,008 posts from 🐧 (@Pentosh1) and classified 116 as real trade calls β€” each priced the day it was made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.

2008 tweets stored Β· 307 qualifying Β· all first mentions all trades

Recent trade calls

@Pentosh1 @Pentosh1 Oct 17, 2025 Β· 10:48 ET stock 1st mention trade position
My current tradfi setup is boring, but it's intentionally boring. We can go over it a bit now, and then later on get into more details around it. I have viewed crypto as a barbell strategy since end of 21. Where, I take risk in crypto, but little risk outside it and nothing inbetween.. When money leaves, it never re-enters. That's a rule that I think the people who survive follow and allows you to hit "save game" on your net worth and compound wealth without the big drawdowns in this asset class. At least twice a year I reset my trading account to a baseline number. The rest now goes into trad markets. This year I shifted to a bit more risk from that complete barbell. Into a more traditional barbell. The design isn't for ultra high returns currently. But that can change as there is some flexibility My current setup is something like this with different risk buckets: 1. Long/Short stocks and commodities 2: Hedge Fund exposure examples: (millennium, goldentree, discovery, chicago atlantic) 3. Bonds, purchased a bit before the last cuts (these will be rotated into stocks in a downturn) SPY box spreads via options 4. Very small vc exposure, private deals Then some AQR delphi. There are a few funds within that. But one of them I'd highlight is AQR is for tax efficiency to offset some taxable gains Very basic explanation of how they work. You buy some stocks for $100. Half of them go to 150 Half go to $50 The value is still the same. They then sell the losing stocks and immediately buy the closest beta to the stock they sold. So the bet is actually the same as well. But now you’ve locked in the $50 loss. But your portfolio is still the same value On taxes it looks like you lost money. But the account value actually went up. You have realized losses but net portfolio gains. = tax offset, less tax paid and more gains and compounding.
$SPY
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$SPYlong +1.0%+1.9%+1.1%β€”+13.4%
@Pentosh1 @Pentosh1 Sep 09, 2025 Β· 10:53 ET stock trade
@FloodCapital Added another 10k shares this am I still think it will be a few months before the market appreciates what they’ve done and are doing
@Pentosh1 @Pentosh1 Jul 18, 2025 Β· 14:28 ET stock trade
@DJohnson_CPA @WazzCrypto Bought a small bag at 29.4 on this big dip I’m guessing they will be in a rush to deploy
$SBET
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$SBETlong -12.9%-24.1%-31.5%-80.4%-78.9%

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