DUMB//SIGNAL

Cassandra Unchained @michaeljburry

Official X account for Michael Burry, MD, called "Cassandra" by Warren Buffett. Now on Substack with the full story.

Dumb Signal has archived 1,637 posts from Cassandra Unchained (@michaeljburry) and classified 19 as real trade calls β€” each priced the day it was made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.

1637 tweets stored Β· 258 qualifying Β· all first mentions all trades

Recent trade calls

@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Sep 27, 2026 Β· 20:18 ET stock 1st mention
@Diego9jey It will be one of the good ones over the long run.
$ZTS
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Sep 21, 2026 Β· 17:05 ET stock 1st mention trade intent
The house party is packed, pushing AI higher today but I am largely ignoring the β€œwoo-hoos.” I’m out in the backyard with my flashlight, seeking. I strike out at the salamander. Multicolored or just green, I blink and remain unsure. It blinks. Perhaps from the ravine. I fiddle in my pocket for the zinc nut and a bit of string.
$QXO
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$QXOlong +4.8%-0.7%β€”β€”-4.2%
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Sep 15, 2026 Β· 09:41 ET stock 1st mention
This is from my May article, The Heretic's Guide to Ai's Stars Part III. I created the Pyramid to predict what would happen. Today the Pyramid is showing what is happening. https://t.co/2QZfXfSf1I The article also dug into financing for data centers, how it involves insurance companies and their captive offshore entitites.
$APO$KKR$BX$CG$ARES$BN
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Sep 05, 2026 Β· 16:04 ET stock 1st mention
There are more of these littering stock markets around the world than I can recall for a long, long time. It is as if the cool kids just outright won. https://t.co/MNbYwDUCHM
β†— Quoting @kobeissiletter
$NKE
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Aug 29, 2026 Β· 15:41 ET stock 1st mention
Join the disccusions and chats at Cassandra Unchchained, pure investment analsyis, no shills, no trolls, just the best community for discussion of stocks and macro themes out there. Burry on Build-A-Bear, Part 1 https://t.co/FjteWFEWc3 Another lesson in patience, recommended books, VSN stock write-ups, and the revised Scion Capital Analyst Template
$BBW$VSN
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Aug 24, 2026 Β· 14:51 ET stock 1st mention trade
Trading Post & Short Thoughts to the Max, August 18, 19, 20, 2026 https://t.co/ZV4XJdCT9Z The AI Buildout, Small Language Models, Intelligence per Watt, & Buying and Shorting 24x5, and a pictorial peak inside the sausage factory Bought the pink sheets TPLWF listing of Temple & Webster in the low $3s the last few days. I also added to my shares in Australia, TPW AU. I am scooping with both hands; and that is not all
$TPLWF$TPW
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$TPLWFlong +7.3%+4.1%-9.2%β€”-13.7%
$TPWlong
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Aug 20, 2026 Β· 09:23 ET stock 1st mention
@CommunityWinner Not surprisingly, I have a bone to pick with Moderna's announcement.
$MRNA
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Aug 18, 2026 Β· 14:05 ET stock 1st mention
This is serious competition for NVDA. The startup says it took just 44 days after getting its test chips back from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing to have them up and running inference workloadsβ€”the computing processes that allow AI models to respond to user queriesβ€”a process that usually takes six months or more. When Etched needed help designing servers and racks to integrate its chips into one big system, the company in 2024 recruited Brian Loiler, a top systems engineer who spent nearly 23 years at Nvidia. Loiler has since recruited to Etched about a dozen engineers from Nvidia who, in some cases, turned down attractive counteroffers, he said. https://t.co/6aOtcjdVo1
$NVDA$TSM
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Aug 12, 2026 Β· 12:20 ET stock 1st mention
This is the latest circular financing map from today’s Bloomberg article. There is no mystery why the revenue numbers are so good, even as losses expand, free cash flow turns negative, and off-balance sheet leverage explodes. Also, the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) Annual Report released in late June is a sober look at all this. I have spend the last week and a half going through all these filings post-earnings, and I am looking forward to tearing apart more 10Qs from Coreweave and Nebius soon. From what I have seen it is worse than this.
$CRWV$NBIS
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Aug 05, 2026 Β· 15:53 ET stock 1st mention
$FLUT is down $14-15 to rougly $90 after reporting earnings and a CEO change. https://t.co/9uZJN5v9nu So, here is the August 5, 2026 Trading Post - One Buy, One Sale, One Reason
$FLUT
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jul 20, 2026 Β· 02:55 ET stock 1st mention
An urgent note on electricity's grand arrival and its parallels with the current #AI buildout. And, of course, much more. Enjoy the show! Light the World! https://t.co/kSnBbcK2Qc $NVDA $CRWV $ORCL
$NVDA$CRWV$ORCL
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jul 20, 2026 Β· 01:24 ET stock 1st mention
@JustinSherfield Stay away from FIG.
$FIG
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jul 15, 2026 Β· 05:42 ET stock 1st mention
Short Thoughts July 15, 2026 PYPL/IBM/HCA/More Trading Postette Plus Commentary on PayPal Buyout Offer, IBM and HCA Swoons https://t.co/GBu7ZVjseC
$PYPL$IBM$HCA
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jul 11, 2026 Β· 18:56 ET stock 1st mention trade position
@stevenfiorillo I was referring to MU, the one I am short .
$MU
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$MUshort +4.3%+13.3%+10.4%β€”-9.2%
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jul 11, 2026 Β· 00:34 ET stock 1st mention
#Blackrock, #Blackstone, #Apollo are watching their private credit credit and private equity portfolios and simultaneously setting the Guinesss Book of World Records record for BREATH-HOLDING, going on 4 years now...then they see this chart and almost lose it. "Up? Up? WTF do you mean UP?" $BLK $BX $APO
$BLK$BX$APO
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jul 04, 2026 Β· 17:55 ET stock 1st mention
Read Advanced Placement Stock-Based Compensation: The Tragic Algebra Recurrence This is what your favorite $NDX or $NASDAQ or $$OX stock actually earns. https://t.co/2RTiRJC7yk #Salesforce #meta #alphabet
$NDX$IXIC$CRM$META$GOOGL
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jul 03, 2026 Β· 19:10 ET stock 1st mention
β€œCheap land and cheap power put data centers in the high water-stress areas,” says Matthew Pine, chief executive of U.S. water-technology giant Xylem, which supplies utilities across the country.
$XYL
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jun 28, 2026 Β· 11:54 ET stock 1st mention
UAA was never a good business. They had some marketing success early but never could really translate to a good business. LULU has been riding leggings for literally 2 decades, across many generations of young ones. The stock is the best performing clothing stock of the last 15 years even after the drop
$UAA$LULU
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jun 19, 2026 Β· 01:34 ET stock 1st mention
For my 55th birthday, I am sharing Part III of my Heretic's Guide to AI for free. The whole article is unlocked, no gimmicks. Enjoy! The Heretic’s Guide to AI’s Stars Part III: Tracepalooza & the Bezzle https://t.co/04J9gjqDBa $META $NVDA $ORCL $MSFT $QQQ #NASDAQ #SOXX
$META$NVDA$ORCL$MSFT$QQQ
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jun 18, 2026 Β· 14:14 ET stock 1st mention
A stock falls from 100 to 10. That's a 90% decline. The investor buys in at 10 because it is indeed worth 30. But it has fallen so much it has become detached from the underlying business and so falls to 5.. The value investor is down 50%. Which isn't as bad as 90%, but is still 50 effing percent. The value investor could have sold at 8, and limited the loss. 10 years later the stock is at $30. While said nvestor gies to medical school and finsihes residency to become a surgeon. That's a six times return in 10 years. About 20% per year. Wait, is it not only a triple? No, because the investor could have sold at 5 like just about everyone else did, but did not. What I describe here is almost exactly WBD. And it didn't take 10 years, because it usually doesn't.
$WBD
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry Jun 01, 2026 Β· 12:47 ET stock 1st mention
[Abridged] Software & Payments Stocks Part II: Productivity Tools and Cybersecurity Part 2 of a 6-Part Series Covering 50 Software & Payments Stocks, Full Analysis and Ranking abridged to 2400 words from 14,000 $ADBE $ADSK $U $PANW $CRWD $DOCU $ZS $INTU https://t.co/VWfDsspzWL
$ADBE$ADSK$U$PANW$CRWD$DOCU$ZS$INTU
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry May 26, 2026 Β· 10:04 ET stock 1st mention
AI Demand, Offshore Financing & Compression Too The Heretic’s Guide to AI’s Stars Part III In either case, this is a set up on the down low for a wicked bullwhip. $NVDA $MSFT $META $NOW $WDAY $PLTR $AMZN $APO $MET $ORCL https://t.co/0QxhGcWDWl
$NVDA$MSFT$META$NOW$WDAY$PLTR$AMZN$APO$MET$ORCL
@michaeljburry @michaeljburry May 06, 2026 Β· 09:52 ET stock 1st mention
Great commentary yet again from BTIG’s Jonathan Krinsky β€’Party Like It's 1999. In 1999, the best performing Nasdaq 100 stock was Qualcomm (QCOM, not rated), up 2600%. The best rolling 52-wk return for QCOM during the entire dot-com bubble was 2600%, so SNDK is beating that by 1300bps. Interestingly, the second-best stock in 1999 was SNDK up 581%. β€’More Extreme. If we look at the top 10 performing NDX stocks in 1999, they were up an average of 559%. The top 10 in the year leading up to 3/24/00 were up an average of 622%. The top 10 NDX names over the last year are up an average of 784%, beating both the dot-com periods..
$QCOM$SNDK

More tracked traders