Chris Camillo @ChrisCamillo

@grok @IosephSanctus nice job Grok

@PostmodernRogue Maybe. But check out our recent @DumbMoneyTV GTA show for the full thesis on why the reaction to this gameplay matters.

Ran dozens of social arb probability scenarios for how the world would react to today’s GTA VI gameplay reveal. This is playing out like a top 5% outcome. Did not expect this. Feels like the market came into today anchored to last week’s hacker leaks and primed for disappointment. It may take a minute to process what just happened. $TTWO

13 years of hype should have made today almost impossible to live up to. Somehow for most GTA fans Rockstar delivered. $TTWO https://t.co/Uh56v646rL

GTA VI gameplay reveal reactions coming in 10/10. You know what I did. $TTWO

@sp3cul8r No. Been a bit since I’ve thought deeply about the short-term risk/reward on $NVDA.

Too many of you are revving up to make an outsized bet on $NVDA earnings based mostly on vibes. Conviction without an information edge is just confidence dressed up as research.

@JakeNapppoa4 i don’t look at price but currently long $BE

Whether it’s AI demand or player sentiment heading into the GTA VI release, you’ll never get to ground truth by lazily relying on what algorithms surface: copy/paste headlines and viral investor takes often driven by confirmation bias. Go to the source. Small accounts. Real people who actually consume the product, not those clouded by the trade. $TTWO

@kritdash @Bloom_Energy It is

@NotVMunn @jukan05 Not really. Most existing scandium supply can come from China while the company still has meaningful reserves and expansion opportunities outside China. And only Bloom has full visibility into how optimization is changing its current and future scandium needs.

Good question. In short, GTA VI is priced in. How good GTA VI actually is isn’t. Gameplay quality and the sustainable hype it creates can still drive meaningful upside or downside. https://t.co/ntZwZcmzFl

Bought $TTWO after seeing the GTA VI leaked footage. Forget the graphics. Unpolished gameplay is showing a massive leap in world density, NPC behavior and systemic depth. The world feels alive. First real evidence GTA VI may actually be a generational leap. That’s the signal.

@ryanTesling @mact3333 @Kalshi_Finance Unless I’m not in a short-dated highly leveraged trade, I’m not paying attention to the day-to-day. I want to see $AMZN go down so I can re-lever at lower prices.

The data on this goes back almost 100 years. A simulated daily 3x S&P strategy from 1928–2020 compounded at 16.3% annually vs 9.5% for the S&P despite a max drawdown of 99.9%. That drawdown is exactly why I said very long time horizon + continuously DCA’ing through crashes. It’s also reasonable to argue that another 99.9% drawdown is less likely today given the modern Fed/Treasury playbook for backstopping systemic market failures. The drawdowns are the feature of this strategy, not the bug.

@Edu4rdo26 You NBIS fanboys are on another level

@tinderboxman No. I added another 20% of the account in $AMZN weekly options, on top of the 50% already in $AMZN equity which was 1x levered. Been applying this leverage strategy for 18 years.

@Anointed_Ape Inconsequential. $AMZN no small cap

Would’ve been a $20B+ positive swing if they’d just followed me into $AMZN at 1x leverage. And they call us Dumb Money. https://t.co/WZVVizF9zL

@eager28 @CAndreisen @quazijohir Correct. They’re tied to the same lockup as other pre-IPO investors. I’m not overthinking $SKM it’s simply my public equity proxy for Anthropic.

@RealJimChanos Simple, $HOOD investors at large are weighted heavier to high growth AI sector and crypto than the S&P.

@eager28 No I’m invested indirectly via $SKM

@Ghostlike @TheOneLanceB You’re missing critical context on my $AMZN trade. If you care to dig in, start with my high-level breakdown on this week’s @TheICHpodcast.

RT @TheICHpodcast: Chris Camillo says he should’ve made $40,000,000 in one day on $AMZN instead of $10,000,000… “It should have been a $3…

The full story of the hotly debated “irresponsible” $AMZN trade that made me $10M in a day. The research. The leverage. The near disaster. The comeback. Link in comments