DUMB//SIGNAL

Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes

Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of BitMEX & CIO @Maelstromfund

Dumb Signal has archived 669 posts from Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) and classified 28 as real trade calls β€” each priced the day it was made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.

669 tweets stored Β· 117 qualifying Β· all first mentions all trades

Recent trade calls

@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 28, 2026 Β· 20:26 ET stock 1st mention trade intent
I still want to be long the Hyperliquid ecosystem but I need some asymmetry. It’s time for an options dex to properly take on Deribit. Hypercall, owned by $SYN, is that challenger. Let’s see if they can cook.
$HYPE$SYN
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$HYPElong -2.7%+5.6%-19.3%β€”-22.0%
$SYNlong +10.1%-26.6%-74.1%β€”-82.4%
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 23, 2026 Β· 16:39 ET stock 1st mention
The ticker is $CARDS degens. The thesis is solid. The price will be pamping! Yachtzee bitches 😘😘😘😘😘😘😘 https://t.co/yPeEOBHBus
β†— Quoting @MaelstromFund
$CARDS
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 10, 2026 Β· 19:47 ET stock 1st mention
RT @DarioCpx: The news just broke that SoftBank could not secure a 6bn$ vs its OpenAI shares Let me tell you a thing: if you cannot secure…
$SFTBY
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 09, 2026 Β· 00:03 ET stock 1st mention
$SPCX IPO pop indicating +17%, is that enough to keep the AI dream alive?
$SPCX
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 01, 2026 Β· 18:31 ET stock 1st mention
Arise Chikun! $WLD initiate bull market. Yachtzee 😘😘😘😘😘😘😘
$WLD
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 28, 2026 Β· 21:53 ET stock 1st mention
RT @fintechfrank: Jeff Sprecher, CEO of ICE (owner of the NYSE), on Hyperliquid: β€œThis Hyperliquid that we’re talking - f you haven’t hear…
$ICE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 14, 2026 Β· 07:59 ET stock 1st mention trade intent
My AI bags need the Cerebras IPO to pop. I went to @HyperliquidX to figure out grey market on where it might open in a few hours. IPO price $185, so indicating a ~50% pop. Long live perp DEXs!!!
$CBRS
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$CBRSlong
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Feb 10, 2026 Β· 00:23 ET stock 1st mention
RT @artemis: BREAKING: Hyperliquid is quietly outgrowing Coinbase. Trading Volume (Notional): β€’ Coinbase: $1.4T β€’ Hyperliquid: $2.6T Tha…
$COIN
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Feb 06, 2026 Β· 23:38 ET stock 1st mention
$BTC dump probably due to dealer hedging off the back of $IBIT structured products. I will be compiling a complete list of all issued notes by the banks to better understand trigger points that could cause rapid price rises and falls. As the game changes, u must as well.
$BTC$IBIT
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jan 13, 2026 Β· 16:17 ET stock 1st mention trade position
My essay "Frowny Cloud" will drop tomorrow. My key degen trade for this first quarter is LONG: $MSTR and $3350 (Metaplanet) as levered plays on $BTC getting its groove back.
$MSTR$3350$BTC
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$BTClong +1.5%-7.3%-30.6%β€”-34.2%
$MSTRlong +3.7%-7.4%-28.9%β€”-46.1%
$3350long
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Dec 31, 2025 Β· 01:09 ET stock 1st mention
$ liq likely bottomed in Nov and is inching higher. It’s time for crypto to pump up the jam.
$LIQ
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Dec 30, 2025 Β· 00:42 ET stock 1st mention
RT @vnovakovski: The ticker is $LIT. https://t.co/1Ckqexgdg0
$LIT
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Nov 30, 2025 Β· 02:30 ET stock 1st mention
I think @keoneHD made a valid point that @MaelstromFund past / present portcos that we advise and/or invested have big locked token supplies. My advice to founders is always get to 100% vested for the team and investors asap , ideally immediately. Then one of two things happens: 1. The price nukes to close to zero, and stays there if there is no organic demand based on usage. 2. Or the price dips and recovers because there is organic usage. I hope we have done our job as investors to only back projects that generate organic usage and thus in the medium run we will make money, and if we failed at our job we deserve to lose all our money. Unfortunately, no founder has taken this advice so I can’t point to a successful outcome based on this theory. Maybe Monad can be the first to prove me right, and the amazing tech can generate the usage to challenge $ETH and $SOL.
$ETH$SOL
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Nov 29, 2025 Β· 18:09 ET stock 1st mention
RT @Lighter_xyz: Will Black Friday be green or red? Trade these new equity perps at 10X leverage to find out: $AAPL, $AMZN, $MSFT, $GOOG…
$AAPL$AMZN$MSFT$GOOG
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Nov 14, 2025 Β· 20:52 ET stock 1st mention trade
This chart is just so stronk I aped more. $ZEC > $XRP
$ZEC$XRP
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$XRPlong -0.7%-12.6%-14.9%β€”-52.5%
$ZEClong +4.7%-22.1%-38.0%β€”-30.5%
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Nov 04, 2025 Β· 01:43 ET stock 1st mention trade
Please understand the risks you are taking when using leverage and debt in defi. You should never be liquidated. With that said, thanks for the low entry on some more $WILD tokens. Can't wait for the Open World launch in Dec. https://t.co/ZbsVWFfgOE
β†— Quoting @real_n3o
$WILD
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$WILDlong +2.8%-6.3%-22.5%β€”-31.3%
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Oct 13, 2025 Β· 23:29 ET stock 1st mention
Banksters got the hint led by the Grand Master Jamie Dimon, time to create credit and lend to US industry. More dollars, more $BTC number go up! QE 4 Poor People in action.
$JPM$BTC
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Sep 08, 2025 Β· 18:48 ET stock 1st mention
2YR points to 50bps cut by cuck Jaypow after weak NFP print. sUSDe yields 7%, get ready for trillions in MMF looking for better yields, #defi will get some of this cash searching for yield. $ENA > $1.50, $USDE supply >$20bn fuck you @circle we coming 4 u.
$ENA$USDE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Aug 11, 2025 Β· 20:24 ET stock 1st mention
Question fam, I don't have an answer: Can #crypto keep hitting all time highs if $NVDA dumps >20%? Let's hear some arguments.
$NVDA
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Aug 11, 2025 Β· 02:52 ET stock 1st mention
RT @Degenerate_DeFi: bet on the fastest horse πŸ‡ Ethena’s $USDe hit $10B market cap in just 500 days $ENA
$ENA$USDE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jul 11, 2025 Β· 00:52 ET stock 1st mention
$ENA listed on largest Korean exchange. It's time for liftoff! Yachtzee 😍😍😍😍😍😍😍😍
$ENA

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