Serenity @aleabitoreddit

Given my recent popularity, might be a good time to put out a PSA. Early followers have known this from the start: 1. I don't do any paid promotions, paid marketing, or accept outside gifts. But I appreciate all the recent outreach from companies! If you see or engage with something online related to any type of payment, it's fabricated for engagement or a scammer. The reason I don't want to is because I'm just posting on X for fun, and when money is involved it turns into a job (which I don't want it to feel like). Also, well off personally so I've never felt influenced by anyone outside. 2. The only "paid" thing I have is $1 subscriptions. That's all. From the very start, I've never taken a single penny outside of X subscriptions/creator sharing. Which is why I say in my bio: "I only use X, beware of imposters." Anyone approaching you to share an external community or app is a scammer or imposter. It's just very frustrating that people still fall for these impersonators. 3. I'm just one person posting my thoughts online. -> Not some institution or Illuminati team. Quality of research is "high" because I have a technical background. And I genuinely do this as a hobby researching supply chain ideas. There's not some "hidden" motive like a paid research group from Asia, it's just fun lol. 4. I will always disclose positions if I have them or if I don't. Very open and transparent about it. With Chinese equities I'm just posting research in hope it benefits people find conviction in critical companies in global supply chains. I don't have any positions / any financial incentives (so I can be impartial), and haven't privately discussed with anyone about ideas I post beforehand. Maybe it happens in Asia, but in the US it's highly illegal to be running groups or getting paid to post about companies. I'm just posting my ideas for free without outside influence, in case others like the idea. It probably seems odd, but I'm doing this as a hobby and for fulfillment of helping others. 5. I'm staying anonymous so I can just freely post my ideas online. Reason being is after I first posted negative things about $IREN, I would have a lot of personal IRL threats and harassment from dozens of accounts for me to stop. Don't want any personal safety or people around me to be at risk for just publishing free research online. Anyway, goal is to help out retail investors with free information synthesis; rather than just selling that directly to institutions. I'm sure this positive sum model might anger people along the way (who have expensive paywalls, or financial incentives) that might feel threatened by information democratization. But genuinely just sharing day-to-day thoughts for free. Very surprised by recent popularity but it helps me distribute compelling ideas to more people. And grateful Elon / X gave me an opportunity through X.

Many work against the interest of retail investors. Especially as JP Morgan / US institutions are trying to buy up the float. You have a company funded with CHIPS Act, in major hyperscaler supply chains from $NVDA to others, powering Ayar for CPO, $JBL for pluggables. And now the reference laser for $GFS. With closest ramp with $AEVA / $POET likely coming next. And following that likely US NASDAQ Listing. Sivers is one of the most compelling photonics companies, and pretty sure all the deals established that already.

A massive catalyst arrived today with $SIVE: Sivers announced $8.2M volume orders starting for Space applications (allspace). This is for Beamforming ICs powering Space LEO/multi-orbit satellite communication. The bigger implication is not the contract size: But that Sivers now powers a larger defense prime in $YSS following their allspace acquisition (similar to $MRVL design-in with Celestial). Which typically leads to more follow-up orders + volume contracts for Sivers, rather than just this specific contract. Turns out Sivers is also a Space/Defense supply chain chokepoint (ahead of SpaceX IPO) on top of their photonics AI DC sector lasers... This win aside, I'm expecting more volume ramps to be coming soon as well from their photonics side (looking at you Jabil + other pluggable makers)

Just a random thought: $JBL seems highkey compelling long idea at $38B. Don’t really think markets have priced in their 1.6T LRO pluggable transceiver business yet. Especially if it’s “how much can you make” with $SIVE as the bottleneck H1 2027. Not really is there enough demand. They already have the massive supply chains setup… and took over $INTC pluggable lines. Seems more scalable than $AAOI capex ATMs for laser fabs, if you have $SIVE + tons of different fabs like Win Semi + others mass producing lasers and $JBL doing the rest. So you’re getting that Innolight style setup for free (with US premiums), with an already validated hyperscaler supply chain. Don’t currently have positions, just throwing out a thought for others to do research on. Prob H1 2027 is when everyone starts realizing. Maybe 40% rereating seems plausible? (dont have any open positions, just a thought)

@Hosdrugs Don't worry! My priority is helping out retail investors. I get into little skirmishes with media all the time like over in Sweden with $SIVE or UK with $RPI. I'm used to it now. As long as I see retail followers benefiting, then I'm happy to continue sharing my ideas.

I do see a lot of comments about "harvesting the leeks". And I hope my picks like LeaderDrive can help change that perspective around certain equities being good long term holds. I think my only Chinese listed pick was Innolight last year, and that's up triple digits to ATH? All my ideas come from a Western perspective (eg. institutional research from JP Morgan / Goldman Sachs I synthesize) and what US hyperscalers like $GOOGL or $MSFT require. And I do consider about geopolitical tensions + game theory all the time, such as with $AXTI. I think a foreigner's perspective brings a different kind of alpha here, and I'm excited to share how this plays out. Regardless, I'm excited to see how adventures in Chinese equities go! (also, I'm just 1 person posting thoughts throughout the day. there's a lot of conspiracy theories going around saying I'm some Chinese institution. and yes, English is my primary language, i typo sometimes since I post 20+ a day on mobile mostly).

@ai_9684xtpa No positions in LeaderDrive, although it’s my favorite China listed equity. I want to remain objective and I’m happy publishing my research for free! And it’s mainly because I can’t access those equities as a foreigner.

我怎么有种奇怪的感觉… 我的中国粉丝是不是都在等我喊新票啊 lol？ 我看好的标的（比如 688017 绿的谐波）通常都是做长线，可不是只拿几天就走！ 不过，这周我确实会再去挖几个新机会研究一下。 https://t.co/yqPna72V5S

Can someone tell me what caused $INHD to go up 3660.95%?

Nah, Jim Cramer is like the 4th Newton’s Law. Inverse Cramer just written into the laws of the universe. I’ve been bullish on $RDDT since $140. But Cramer was telling everyone to buy Reddit the entire time since Feb. So it’s been flat. https://t.co/gRHq6gRKTi https://t.co/m7VfW0YI57

@FiatElpis Jim Cramer is an example of wrong by accident. Having the resources of a bank to see SK Hynix trading at 2 fwd p/e, then telling everyone KOSPI looks like the next 2008 financial crisis… Is probably something else.

For people out there citing Bank of America quotes now about selling. Just remember: They said $EWY/ KOSPI (SK Hynix/Samsung) was an extreme bubble back in March. And blamed retail for the cause, then implied they should sell Korean memory equities: comparing it to the 2008 financial crisis, .com bubble, and Silver crash. Then shortly after retail sold their longs, memory rallied to all time highs. Institutions are not your friends. Usually when an unusual flood of negative news, they need liquidity.

@SebastianS79509 $XFAB is European... I really like it, just markets are sleeping on it.

@0xHyperEVM Yeah $MRVL was $87 or so, $ARM was $130. $87 -> $288 for Marvell $134 -> $347 for Arm not too shabby for my names? I still think many have a toooon of room to go like $AAOI.

@soulbiri1 I think only $IBIT / $XLU / $META / $CRCL are red since that mention. Maybe like 1-2 flat like $HOOD But 25 for 30 like $NBIS green, and many by triple digits is pretty solid if you do equal weighted.

Still think this US list from $MRVL to $ARM to $INTC was goated. Just as a recap if new followers were wondering what US equities I like. Especially because I've been talking about international companies recently. https://t.co/tZGLrFEGoh https://t.co/1mkk0NG6Ao

@LightLogix I mean... > $SIVE reference laser for $GFS > $SIVE laser 1.6T LRO with $JBL + many more pluggable players > $SIVE + Ayar + $NVDA NVLink > likely $SIVE + Lightmatter / $MRVL Celestial with $NVDA NVLink > Likely $SIVE -> $AMD CPO ecosystem too. very compelling long idea.

@_king142 It's primarily just new news of US institutional accumulation of 5%+ of the company. Whether it's JPM asset management or hedge funds using JPM, since US retail doesn't have access to synthetic exposure to $SIVE.

I think the implications of JP Morgan's disclosure of buying 5.25%+ of $SIVE is a lot greater than people think. > $135M is pennies to US institutions. They can easily acquire 25% with their capital. They're just constrained by the amount of float that's available from retail to buy. > Signals to other institutions that other large institutions are buying up the float. Which triggers more institutional interest. > Given float is heavily shorted by Swedish Hedge Funds and random algorithmic ones. If large US institutions like JP Morgan are starting to buying the float, it's a blaring signal to start and cover. Of course, most of all, this is validating thesis of giving ideas to retail first to frontrun the institutions + the next CPO supercycle.

All the outlets in China are just as confused as I am about 300376. Just an FYI, these are all follower recommended stock ideas, not mine. I’m just compiling all the shoutouts into a list of 30+ names related/adjacent to 800v DC exposure. https://t.co/e9yQiy71kG https://t.co/B80w74yFT3

@ark_btc I compiled 32+ different names related to $NVDA 800V DC mentioned by followers. And posted them in a simple format for people to do research on. Not my recommendations lol.

Surprised $SIVE is only up 3.36% off the news JP Morgan (institutional) bought 5%+ ownership of Sivers. Just in the last month alone. First major signal of major institutional buying of the float for Sivers. https://t.co/eSfKSQCEhM https://t.co/HCWzZjMG7t

???? 大家都知道这只是个众包名单吧？ 300376怎么涨了20%啊哈哈 https://t.co/OdmqmIYB6V https://t.co/eactAFCmFg

Okay chat, here's your compiled list chat of your favorite 800V DC related ideas. 1. $IFNNY - $115.8B 2. $ON - $46.2B 3. Lite-On (2301) - $16.03B 4. 6504.T - $14.1B 5. $VICR - $12.8B 6. $LFUS - $11.57B 7. https://t.co/1unM4FPf65 - $8.34B 8. $VSH - $7.86B 9. $ENPH - $7.36B 10. $NVTS - $5.77B 11. $POWI - $4.30B 12. $BDC - $4.18B 13. $EOSE - $3.86B 14. $SEDG - $3.82B 15. $AEHR - $3.1B 16. 6890.T - $2.66B 17. $WOLF - $2.16B 18. $CWR.L - $1.75B 19. $AMSC - $1.68B 20. https://t.co/43OXU9tx65 - $1.68B 21. $XFAB - $1.54B 22. $AOSL - $1.25B 23. $HYLN - $1.23B 24. $FCEL - $835M 25. $IQE.L - $780M 26. $ASYS - $276M 27. $RELL - $239M 28. 6844.T - $222M 29. 4973.T - $207M 30. $PAY.BR - $189M 31. 6616.T - $186M 32. 6882.T - $124M 33. $IPWR - $96m Also included some adjacent ones you all mentioned like $FCEL or $EOSE anyway, tho idk it's great exposure. Ignored the clearer irrelevant stuff like $POET that people mentioned tho. There's like 500 comments, but I guess X limits everything I can see. We'll see how your highest conviction ideas do.

I do think LeaderDrive (688017) is China's standout component leader in the robotics sector. I've done a lot of research on other robotics picks / $TSLA Optimus suppliers, but LeaderDrive is extremely unique. Compared to others doing lower margin assembly, or lower value components, with higher design out risk. Western institutions like Goldman Sachs Research flags LeaderDrive many times: -> As a company with high technology barriers (eg. harmonic reduction gear). -> and likely capturing high component value costs like planetary roller screws of each humanoid produced. In simpler terms with LeaderDrive, you cover: 1. Many different components, with high barrier to entry 2. High BOM of each humanoid made, if you combine them together 3. Mass production capability at low cost. For each humanoid made. Please do your research on this topic before making your own decision; but long-term if you believe in humanoid sector growth: I think LeaderDrive (688017) is very compelling. Risk is mainly coming from other emerging Chinese companies taking over market share of different individual components. As well as mass-production margins decreasing over time; as seen with $VPG going from $750 (for early stage pre-production) -> $150 for sensors. But in general, I don't believe companies outside China like Harmonic Drive (6324) can achieve the same costs for mass production, which is why $TSLA Optimus is creating extensive supply chains from China. So we'll likely see supply chains be bifurcated with cheap mass production $15k-20K humanoids from Chinese supply chains. And higher cost humanoids from Western supply chains. Again if you look at current P/E ratios and say it's high; a lot of it is misunderstanding comes from not looking at forward growth: Nothing has been mass produced yet. AGIbot has recently achieved 10k units produced back in March. But in the next 3-5 years, the TAM of the humanoid/robotics sector forecasted by Elon Musk and others very large, if he's expecting millions of humanoids to be produced a year. So my expectation is the current $10.65B MC would look very tiny in hindsight of LeaderDrive's market capture of the overall robotics market. So I don't believe thesis like this should be measured in short term timeframes (or that people should actively trade names like these). Moreso a long term investment idea about how this company could capture a material part of the overall humanoid market that exponentially grows over the next few years.