Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes

Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of BitMEX & CIO @Maelstromfund

Dumb Signal has archived 669 posts from Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) and classified 28 as real trade calls — each priced the day it was made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.

Recent trade calls

@CryptoHayes Jun 28, 2026 · 20:26 ET stock 1st mention trade intent

I still want to be long the Hyperliquid ecosystem but I need some asymmetry. It’s time for an options dex to properly take on Deribit. Hypercall, owned by $SYN, is that challenger. Let’s see if they can cook.

$HYPE$SYN

return	1D	1W	1M	1Y	now
$HYPElong	-2.7%	+5.6%	-19.3%	—	-22.0%
$SYNlong	+10.1%	-26.6%	-74.1%	—	-82.4%

@CryptoHayes May 14, 2026 · 07:59 ET stock 1st mention trade intent

My AI bags need the Cerebras IPO to pop. I went to @HyperliquidX to figure out grey market on where it might open in a few hours. IPO price $185, so indicating a ~50% pop. Long live perp DEXs!!!

$CBRS

return	1D	1W	1M	1Y	now
$CBRSlong

@CryptoHayes Jan 13, 2026 · 16:17 ET stock 1st mention trade position

My essay "Frowny Cloud" will drop tomorrow. My key degen trade for this first quarter is LONG: $MSTR and $3350 (Metaplanet) as levered plays on $BTC getting its groove back.

$MSTR$3350$BTC

return	1D	1W	1M	1Y	now
$BTClong	+1.5%	-7.3%	-30.6%	—	-34.2%
$MSTRlong	+3.7%	-7.4%	-28.9%	—	-46.1%
$3350long

@CryptoHayes Nov 14, 2025 · 20:52 ET stock 1st mention trade

This chart is just so stronk I aped more. $ZEC > $XRP

$ZEC$XRP

return	1D	1W	1M	1Y	now
$XRPlong	-0.7%	-12.6%	-14.9%	—	-52.5%
$ZEClong	+4.7%	-22.1%	-38.0%	—	-30.5%

@CryptoHayes Nov 04, 2025 · 01:43 ET stock 1st mention trade

Please understand the risks you are taking when using leverage and debt in defi. You should never be liquidated. With that said, thanks for the low entry on some more $WILD tokens. Can't wait for the Open World launch in Dec. https://t.co/ZbsVWFfgOE

↗ Quoting @real_n3o

$WILD

return	1D	1W	1M	1Y	now
$WILDlong	+2.8%	-6.3%	-22.5%	—	-31.3%