DUMB//SIGNAL

Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes

Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of BitMEX & CIO @Maelstromfund

Dumb Signal has archived 858 posts from Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) and classified 29 as real trade calls β€” each priced the day it was made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.

858 tweets stored Β· 150 qualifying Β· all first mentions all trades

Recent trade calls

@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 10, 2026 Β· 19:47 ET stock 1st mention
RT @DarioCpx: The news just broke that SoftBank could not secure a 6bn$ vs its OpenAI shares Let me tell you a thing: if you cannot secure…
$SFTBY
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 10, 2026 Β· 01:54 ET stock
RT @Kylechasse: Bitcoin had trillions in liquidity behind it. So why didn't it moon? @CryptoHayes asked himself a simple question. If tri…
$BTC
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 09, 2026 Β· 00:03 ET stock 1st mention
$SPCX IPO pop indicating +17%, is that enough to keep the AI dream alive?
$SPCX
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 05, 2026 Β· 06:12 ET stock
That outperformance is $WLD. Never bet against Elon ...
$WLD
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 04, 2026 Β· 22:29 ET stock
@KyleSamani Btw just because I dumped my entire $HYPE bag, doesn't mean I still don't have faith $HYPE will best $SOL by year end. Sometimes you gotta go down to go up.
$HYPE$SOL
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 04, 2026 Β· 22:27 ET stock trade
The Holy Trinity is dead. Sadly due to the Orchard Pool exploit, I had to dump our entire $ZEC bag. - While I think it's extremely unlikely of any minting, it cannot be formally cryptographically proved impossible - The privacy from AI, govt, big tech narrative demands perfection not improbability - I read about the exploit yday, and didn't appreciate how it violated my narrative mental map. The 30% dump, made me rethink, and I had to take profit on the entire position - We will consistently re-evaluate our thinking and if my assumptions are proven incorrect, will rebuy, hopefully at lower prices. - Privacy is priceless and I have no issue eating humble pie and rebuying much higher. We still hold $WLD and are excited for Lord Elon to pump our bags.
$ZEC$WLD
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$WLDlong -21.8%-13.5%-21.0%β€”+0.1%
$ZECshort +7.1%-5.6%-18.4%β€”-263.4%
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 04, 2026 Β· 02:26 ET stock
The SpaceX IPO is going to melt people’s faces off. Holding the $WLD through the listing next week.
$WLD
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 04, 2026 Β· 01:49 ET stock trade
I just dumped my entire $HYPE and $NEAR position, I will explain why in my essay "Reality Test" dropping next Tuesday. TLDR: - Higher energy prices due to Iran war and inventory restocking - 3 Mega AI IPOs between now and early Q3 - Prediction that Trump goes anti-AI to win mid-terms for Republicans - I think highs in mrkts will happen btw now and September - Time to take profit, and two-step in beefa without worrying about my positions
$HYPE$NEAR
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$HYPEshort +7.2%+8.5%-8.5%β€”-41.6%
$NEARshort +10.6%+6.2%+9.2%β€”-139.7%
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 03, 2026 Β· 17:25 ET stock
Read it and weep $WLD bears. This shitcoin is going to moon ... cause AI duh. Don't mid-curve this shit. Yachtzee 😚😚😚😚😚😚😚😚 https://t.co/ern60BUOVN
β†— Quoting @MaelstromFund
$WLD
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 01, 2026 Β· 18:31 ET stock 1st mention
Arise Chikun! $WLD initiate bull market. Yachtzee 😘😘😘😘😘😘😘
$WLD
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 01, 2026 Β· 18:17 ET stock
And the winner of the 100 $HYPE v. @KyleSamani meme contest. I will dm @jords to settle up. https://t.co/YjNXyBZ5Ow
β†— Quoting @jords
$HYPE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Jun 01, 2026 Β· 02:26 ET stock trade intent
@KyleSamani Fuck yeah LFG. We can take the 00:00 UTC 2 June 2026 to 00:00 1 Jan 2027 on Bybit. HYPEUSDT vs SOLUSDT deal?
$HYPE$SOL
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$HYPElong -5.1%-13.2%-15.2%β€”+24.0%
$SOLlong -8.7%-17.7%-4.7%β€”+45.3%
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 31, 2026 Β· 22:54 ET stock trade intent
Hey @KyleSamani maybe you were busy last time I pinged you. Let's do a gentleman's charitable bet. I put $100k on the line to a charity of your choice that $HYPE outperforms any other current top ten crypto in USD terms from now until year end. Who is your champion?
$HYPE
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$HYPElong -5.1%-13.2%-15.2%β€”+24.0%
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 31, 2026 Β· 19:03 ET stock
Time for a 100 $HYPE giveaway contest. Subject: must included something about hyperliquid and @KyleSamani Content: must be extremely offensive but witty at the same time Format: photo plus text
$HYPE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 31, 2026 Β· 00:03 ET stock trade position
@viverelaxmx My shitcoin portfolio def in bull market. Choose better degen.
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 30, 2026 Β· 19:09 ET stock
Are we dreaming big enough? Looking at this list of mostly dogshit coins, I think $HYPE should at a minimum overtake $SOL before this bull run is over.
$HYPE$SOL
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 28, 2026 Β· 21:53 ET stock 1st mention
RT @fintechfrank: Jeff Sprecher, CEO of ICE (owner of the NYSE), on Hyperliquid: β€œThis Hyperliquid that we’re talking - f you haven’t hear…
$ICE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 20, 2026 Β· 09:25 ET stock
$NVDA earnings day, did Jensen sign enough boobs to keep my AI stonks afloat?
$NVDA
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 15, 2026 Β· 12:33 ET stock
The CME and ICE can go fuck themselves. Long live $HYPE
$HYPE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 14, 2026 Β· 07:59 ET stock 1st mention trade intent
My AI bags need the Cerebras IPO to pop. I went to @HyperliquidX to figure out grey market on where it might open in a few hours. IPO price $185, so indicating a ~50% pop. Long live perp DEXs!!!
$CBRS
return1D1W1M1Ynow
$CBRSlong
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes May 12, 2026 Β· 17:25 ET stock
RT @laurashin: Arthur on why he called Q1 a no trade zone and why AI deflation was the real risk nobody was pricing in "10% to 20% of the…
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Apr 28, 2026 Β· 18:05 ET stock
RT @beincrypto: Can $BTC hit $250K this year? Is Hyperliquid’s $HYPE the top alt bet of this cycle? And why does @CryptoHayes think gover…
$BTC$HYPE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Apr 11, 2026 Β· 18:25 ET stock
Say hello to my little friend ... $HYPE
$HYPE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Apr 10, 2026 Β· 05:40 ET stock
Started from the bottom now we here $HYPE
$HYPE
@CryptoHayes @CryptoHayes Apr 08, 2026 Β· 21:46 ET stock
I’ll believe Iran is charging a toll in $BTC when I see a tx linked to a vessel’s toll payment. Otherwise it’s just the IRGC trolling the western filthy fiat financial system.
$BTC

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