Dumb Signal has archived 669 posts
from Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) and classified
28 as real trade calls — each priced the day it was
made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.
RT @Lighter_xyz: Will Black Friday be green or red?
Trade these new equity perps at 10X leverage to find out: $AAPL, $AMZN, $MSFT, $GOOG…
$AAPL$AMZN$MSFT$GOOG
I don’t know the first thing about your tech. I’m sure it’s good, everyone that speaks about you and your team say you guys are smart as fuck. But your tokenomics pretty much guarantee $MON will be Down Only.
Tell your community how the chain will absorb the 90% of tokens without cratering. Tell your community about the amount of usage needed so that there is organic demand to buy the token from the early investors and team members who will sell it once it unlocks. There is nothing wrong with selling, your early supporters an team members deserve a good return for taking risk. Tell the community how you will maintain this price level with ~1% monthly inflation just due to staking rewards. Fucking educate me on that. I don’t give a fuck what your tech does, I’m a trader. Write me a wall of text about the flows and make me look like an idiot.
Until then , $MON is a hot potato. It’s fun to scalp with but the general trajectory will be lower just due to supply and demand.
$MON
I'm out. Send this dogshit to ZERO!
$MON 😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭
$MON
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
|---|
| $MONshort |
+13.1% | +32.0% | +43.2% | — | +49.2% |
Ser just some simple maths will tell you the only way $HYPE overcomes the uncertainty is massively growing rev. Even if the team pinky swears to not sell, there is nothing holding them to that. So you have to assume a >0% amount of daily sell pressure. The market is already discounting this bc, P/FDV fell 50% since the price ATH in July.
↗ Quoting @andyyy
$HYPE
@ThePhunky1 who gives a fuck. $btc rallied from 16k to 100k and rates were much higher due to RRP delince. qty of credit is more important than the price. we could hit ath with fed funds at 10% if the fed did unlimited qe at the same time.
$BTC
minor improvements in $ liq:
- fed qt stops dec 1, this wed will prob be last fall in b/s
- us banks increased lending in nov
we chop below $90k, maybe one more stab down into low $80k's but i think $80k holds. might start nibbling, but leave the bazooka until the new year
$BTC
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
|---|
| $BTClong |
-1.1% | -2.2% | -0.8% | — | -28.9% |
$BTC undershooting decline in $ liq. Bottom is near, but be patient before blowing your load. Wait for US stonks to puke as well. We are playing for more money printing, and for that we need AI tech stocks to crater.
$BTC
What’s your hedge?
Mine is $ZEC.
$ZEC
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
|---|
| $ZEClong |
-2.2% | -21.7% | -33.9% | — | -31.1% |
I want for Xmas is $ZEC
This week's 10 ZEC meme contest give away, is please make a meme about what you want for Xmas from Black Santa.
https://t.co/WQkluaeECn
$ZEC
@CryptoHayes
Nov 14, 2025 · 20:52 ET
stock
1st mention
trade
This chart is just so stronk I aped more.
$ZEC > $XRP
$ZEC$XRP
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
|---|
| $XRPlong |
-0.7% | -12.6% | -14.9% | — | -52.5% |
| $ZEClong |
+4.7% | -22.1% | -38.0% | — | -30.5% |
RT @brianman1: Free shit it good for bitcoin
@CryptoHayes @Scaramucci
@SALTConference
$BTC
Team Red got smoked today by Team Blue in the US. Time for Trump & Bessent to run the printer back turbo in 2026 to hand out goodies so Team Red doesn’t lose big in Nov ‘26. I hope ur long $BTC and $ZEC.
$BTC$ZEC
$BTC (yellow) -5%, $ liq (white) -8% since US debt ceiling raised in July. TGA build up sucked $ out of the system. When US gov shutdown ends, TGA will fall +ve for $ liq, and $BTC will rise ... and $ZEC will go up MOAR!
$BTC$ZEC
RT @coinbureau: 🎙️CB PODCAST🎙️
@nicrypto chats to @CryptoHayes. They dive into why the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is dead, how $BTC could still…
$BTC
@meta_coach Yeah $ZEC
$ZEC
@CryptoHayes
Nov 04, 2025 · 01:43 ET
stock
1st mention
trade
Please understand the risks you are taking when using leverage and debt in defi. You should never be liquidated. With that said, thanks for the low entry on some more $WILD tokens. Can't wait for the Open World launch in Dec. https://t.co/ZbsVWFfgOE
↗ Quoting @real_n3o
$WILD
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
|---|
| $WILDlong |
+2.8% | -6.3% | -22.5% | — | -31.3% |
Recently when people in #crypto ask how I am, I just say $ZEC.
$ZEC
| return | 1D | 1W | 1M | 1Y | now |
|---|
| $ZEClong |
+1.7% | +60.6% | +5.9% | — | +14.4% |
Let me jinx this...
$ZEC to $400 and beyond. Happy Halloween Bitches!
$ZEC
BOJ quote of the day:
"Due to rising uncertainty in domestic political circumstances, as well global economic weakness as indicated by the Fed's continuing rate cuts, we feel it is best to maintain policy as is with the intention to further propel inflation (unspecified measure therof) to our 2% target"
Translation: $BTC to JPY200m
$BTC
Nothing stops this train.
$ZEC to $10k
$ZEC
Vibe check
$ZEC to $10k
$ZEC
Banksters got the hint led by the Grand Master Jamie Dimon, time to create credit and lend to US industry. More dollars, more $BTC number go up! QE 4 Poor People in action.
$JPM$BTC
“Long Live the King!” an essay on why the $BTC 4yr cycle is dead.
https://t.co/7RldfQVqT5
$BTC
RT @KevinWSHPod: . @ethena is the fastest-growing USD stablecoin in crypto history
@cryptohayes is placing his highest conviction bet…
$ENA
The new TradFi meta narrative is the "debasement trade". It took them almost twenty years to notice. Don't believe for a second they will forget about it just because of the $BTC "4yr cycle" It's time for the banksters to sell gold, #crypto, and tech stock derivatives to clients.
$BTC
