Arthur Hayes @CryptoHayes

Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of BitMEX & CIO @Maelstromfund

Dumb Signal has archived 858 posts from Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) and classified 29 as real trade calls — each priced the day it was made and graded by direction-signed returns at 1D / 1W / 1M / 1Y, deletion-proof.

Recent trade calls

@CryptoHayes Apr 07, 2026 · 21:00 ET stock trade

The only thing we're buying right now is $HYPE

$HYPE

return	1D	1W	1M	1Y	now
$HYPElong	+2.0%	+15.4%	+11.7%	—	+135.4%

@CryptoHayes Mar 20, 2026 · 05:38 ET stock

$HYPE fam, I need a new PFP to reflect my dedication to ecosystem. Give me some suggestions.

$HYPE

@CryptoHayes Mar 20, 2026 · 00:48 ET stock

Pretty impressive that oil contracts are trading $1.5bn a day. $HYPE is taking over. See you at $150. 😘😘😘😘

$HYPE

@CryptoHayes Mar 18, 2026 · 20:45 ET stock

$HYPE outperformance is realz.

$HYPE

@CryptoHayes Mar 16, 2026 · 20:38 ET stock

Pump up the jam! $HYPE = $150

$HYPE

@CryptoHayes Mar 09, 2026 · 18:47 ET stock

Yummy $HYPE = $150

$HYPE

@CryptoHayes Mar 09, 2026 · 07:41 ET stock

My essay on why $HYPE is going to $150 by August 2026. https://t.co/M1la2HpdzT

$HYPE

@CryptoHayes Feb 17, 2026 · 18:18 ET stock

"This Is Fine" is an essay on why $BTC is predicting an AI-adoption driven financial crisis which will be "solved" with printed monay! https://t.co/sp2NBHWorM

$BTC

@CryptoHayes Feb 11, 2026 · 20:20 ET stock

RT @reisnertobias: Hyperliquid vs. Coinbase

$COIN

@CryptoHayes Feb 10, 2026 · 00:23 ET stock 1st mention

RT @artemis: BREAKING: Hyperliquid is quietly outgrowing Coinbase. Trading Volume (Notional): • Coinbase: $1.4T • Hyperliquid: $2.6T Tha…

$COIN

@CryptoHayes Feb 07, 2026 · 20:08 ET stock

@mikealfred I’m in the process of collecting all outstanding IBIT structured notes and will build a vol surface for our internal trading purposes. When we flag an interesting tigger point we will take positions against it and tell you guys about it after.

$IBIT

@CryptoHayes Feb 06, 2026 · 23:38 ET stock 1st mention

$BTC dump probably due to dealer hedging off the back of $IBIT structured products. I will be compiling a complete list of all issued notes by the banks to better understand trigger points that could cause rapid price rises and falls. As the game changes, u must as well.

$BTC$IBIT

@CryptoHayes Feb 05, 2026 · 01:13 ET stock

Maybe I should have looked for the black swan given the $BTC moves today.

$BTC

@CryptoHayes Feb 03, 2026 · 15:08 ET stock

If I told you I'm shorting $RIVER hoping it goes to zero, would all you degens go long so as to liquidate me bc I'm the Jim Cramer of crypto?

$RIVER

@CryptoHayes Feb 02, 2026 · 23:38 ET stock

RT @TheBitcoinConf: WE'RE EXCITED TO ANNOUNCE CO-FOUNDER OF BITMEX & CIO OF MAELSTROM ARTHUR HAYES AS A BITCOIN 2026 SPEAKER 🔥 ”BITCOIN WI…

$BTC

@CryptoHayes Jan 26, 2026 · 18:23 ET stock

What should I do if $RIVER hits $100 by the beginning of next week?

$RIVER

@CryptoHayes Jan 25, 2026 · 15:57 ET stock

$BTC needs some of that $RIVER energy.

$BTC$RIVER

@CryptoHayes Jan 13, 2026 · 20:48 ET stock

$3350 Metaplanet LFG I stand with SANAE!

$3350

@CryptoHayes Jan 13, 2026 · 16:17 ET stock 1st mention trade position

My essay "Frowny Cloud" will drop tomorrow. My key degen trade for this first quarter is LONG: $MSTR and $3350 (Metaplanet) as levered plays on $BTC getting its groove back.

$MSTR$3350$BTC

return	1D	1W	1M	1Y	now
$BTClong	+1.5%	-7.3%	-30.6%	—	-12.3%
$MSTRlong	+3.7%	-7.4%	-28.9%	—	-11.4%
$3350long

@CryptoHayes Jan 06, 2026 · 15:36 ET stock

Degens, message your CEX relationship manager and tell them to list $RIVER! @cz_binance @benbybit stop being a bunch of bitches list $RIVER!

$RIVER

@CryptoHayes Jan 03, 2026 · 00:30 ET stock

Pamp it $WILD https://t.co/BjYSiAsKO0

↗ Quoting @real_n3o

$WILD

@CryptoHayes Dec 31, 2025 · 01:09 ET stock 1st mention

$ liq likely bottomed in Nov and is inching higher. It’s time for crypto to pump up the jam.

$LIQ

@CryptoHayes Dec 30, 2025 · 16:47 ET stock

@EliBenSasson You wouldn’t be saying that if it was you that was buried in an avalanche and your partner didn’t have their beacon and shovel ready to dig you out. That’s like buying $ZEC and not shielding it. What’s the fucking point then …

$ZEC

@CryptoHayes Dec 30, 2025 · 00:42 ET stock 1st mention

RT @vnovakovski: The ticker is $LIT. https://t.co/1Ckqexgdg0

$LIT

@CryptoHayes Dec 29, 2025 · 23:51 ET stock

I travelled to the top of a volcano and found a grave site of $ZEC bears.

$ZEC